ATOM

intelligence layer beta —

Delegation · 24H

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Unbond Complete · 24H

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Net Flow Bias · 7D

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1) Event set: All delegation / undelegation flow is counted for totals. Edge modeling uses exact-only timestamps.

2) Horizons: Forward outcomes are measured at 1h, 4h, 24h, 7d.

3) Alpha formula: alpha(h) = return_event(h) - baseline_return(h), with baseline from trailing 30 days.

4) Bias score: bias = 100 × tanh(net_7d / 2,000,000).

5) Quality gate: n ≥ 12 and exact coverage ≥ 70%.

scheduled unlocks

Maturity dates of previously submitted undelegations.

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unlocking today

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next 7 unlocks

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total scheduled

unbonding pressure gauge

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Updated: — · Window: next 7 days

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Confidence: —

Δ —

Supply 0/25

Absorption 0/25

P&L Position 0/15

Concentration 0/15

Behavior 0/20

The unbonding pressure gauge is a composite 0–100 score built from on-chain + market data:

Supply (0–25): Compares the upcoming 7-day unlock volume against the full schedule average using log scaling. Tomorrow's unlock is weighted more heavily.

Absorption (0–25): Measures whether the market can absorb the unlocks by comparing unlock volume to trading volume. High ratio = harder to absorb.

P&L Position (0–15): Looks up the ATOM price when undelegation was initiated (21 days before unlock). If unlockers are underwater, panic-sell risk is higher.

Concentration (0–15): Measures whether unlocks are clustered on a single day or spread evenly using HHI. Spikes increase the score.

Behavior (0–20): Tracks what happens after ATOM unbonds — held, re-staked, sent to exchanges, or bridged. Requires 3+ days of observed data.

This is on-chain data analysis only — not financial advice. Always do your own research.